Leicester Sub 23 vs Derby County Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
BLA
7 - 1
LEI
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
SWA
0 - 3
LEI
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
LEI
1 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 1
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
BHA
0 - 1
LEI
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
DER
0 - 1
CHE
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 3
DER
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
DER
1 - 5
SWA
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
DER
0 - 1
MCI
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |