Hinckley LR vs Coleshill Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
12º
19º
14º
66
5º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley LR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 0
LER
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
LER
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 0
LER
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NUN
2 - 0
LER
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Coleshill Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
YAX
0 - 4
COL
10%
18%
72%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COL
3 - 2
DAV
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
COL
55%
22%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
COL
78%
14%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |