Leicester Nirvana vs Belper Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
70.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester Nirvana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 5
LEI
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
COA
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RUG
0 - 0
BEL
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
BEL
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 3
NEW
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 2
MIC
24%
23%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |