Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1984 |
LEI
0 - 2
SUN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1984 |
WOL
1 - 0
LEI
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
LEI
2 - 1
NTT
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
QPR
2 - 0
LEI
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1984 |
NEW
3 - 1
BHA
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1984 |
HUR
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
NEW
4 - 0
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
CAM
1 - 0
NEW
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
NEW
5 - 1
CUM
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |