Leganés Sub 19 vs Real Madrid Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
13º
3º
71
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 0
LEG
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
LEG
4 - 0
REA
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 0
MER
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 5
LEG
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 0
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 0
RAY
90%
8%
3%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RCD
2 - 1
RMA
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 0
UDL
93%
5%
2%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 2
RMA
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RCA
1 - 3
RMA
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |