Leevon PPK vs Skanstes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
13º
10º
22
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 57 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 45 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 34 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 21 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leevon PPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 2
FSL
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 4
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SMI
0 - 4
FSL
70%
15%
15%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 1
FSL
18%
20%
63%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Skanstes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 1
RFA
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 1
SKA
67%
19%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 1
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 0
SKA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |