FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 5-2
Leek Town vs Parkgate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leek Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
4 - 0
RAM
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
LEE
12%
16%
73%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 2
CHA
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEE
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LEE
1 - 2
CLI
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Parkgate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
LEE
12%
16%
73%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 3
ROT
5%
10%
85%
|
13 | 64 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 4
HAN
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |