Premier League round 38

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis

Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur
84 ELO 91
14.9% Tilt 11.7%
181º General ELO ranking 50º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.9%
Leeds United
22.2%
Draw
54.9%
Tottenham Hotspur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
Leeds United
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.9%
Win probability
Tottenham Hotspur
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leeds United
+8%
-8%
Tottenham Hotspur

Points and table prediction

Leeds United
Their league position
Tottenham Hotspur
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
19º
19º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
89
89
100%
Arsenal
84
84
100%
Manchester United
75
75
100%
Newcastle
71
71
100%
Liverpool
67
67
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
62
62
100%
Aston Villa
61
61
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
60
60
100%
Brentford
59
59
100%
Fulham
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Crystal Palace
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Chelsea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Wolves
13º
41
41
13º
100%
West Ham
14º
40
40
14º
100%
AFC Bournemouth
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Nottingham Forest
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Everton
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Leicester
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Leeds United
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Southampton
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2023
WHU
West Ham
3 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
63%
21%
17%
84 90 6 0
13 May. 2023
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
27%
24%
49%
84 90 6 0
06 May. 2023
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
89%
8%
3%
84 98 14 0
30 Apr. 2023
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
4 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
43%
25%
33%
84 84 0 0
25 Apr. 2023
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 1
Leicester
LEI
35%
24%
41%
84 87 3 0

Matches

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 3
Brentford
BRE
53%
23%
24%
91 88 3 0
13 May. 2023
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
31%
24%
45%
91 88 3 0
06 May. 2023
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
61%
22%
17%
90 87 3 +1
30 Apr. 2023
LIV
Liverpool
4 - 3
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
65%
20%
16%
90 95 5 0
27 Apr. 2023
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
28%
25%
48%
90 93 3 0