League One Round 33

Leeds United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Leeds United Oldham Athletic AFC
75 ELO 57
6.9% Tilt -3.5%
168º General ELO ranking 3863º
19º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
77.1%
Leeds United
15.5%
Draw
7.4%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
Leeds United
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.4%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leeds United
+4%
+21%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Leeds United
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2010
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
75%
17%
8%
75 59 16 0
16 Feb. 2010
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 2
Walsall
WAL
76%
17%
7%
75 60 15 0
13 Feb. 2010
LEY
Leyton Orient
1 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
26%
27%
47%
76 61 15 -1
09 Feb. 2010
CUM
Carlisle United
2 - 3
Leeds United
LEE
33%
26%
41%
75 65 10 +1
06 Feb. 2010
HAR
Hartlepool United
2 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
23%
26%
51%
75 56 19 0

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2010
COL
Colchester United
1 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
64%
21%
15%
58 67 9 0
13 Feb. 2010
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 0
Walsall
WAL
42%
28%
30%
57 60 3 +1
09 Feb. 2010
SWI
Swindon Town
4 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
69%
19%
12%
57 67 10 0
06 Feb. 2010
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
0 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
54%
25%
21%
57 60 3 0
23 Jan. 2010
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 1
Millwall
MIL
31%
28%
42%
57 65 8 0