Leeds United vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
LEE
1 - 1
MIL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEE
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 0
NOR
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
LEE
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 1
TRA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 1
EXE
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EXE
2 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 1
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 0
WYC
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
EXE
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |