Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
16º
13º
10
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 87 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 77 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 77 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 69 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 58 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 57 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 57 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 55 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 53 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 52 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 48 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 45 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 44 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 42 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
3 | 38 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 37 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 35 |
18º
|
15.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 32 |
19º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 27 |
20º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
1% | 2.5% |
|
Europa League
|
3% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2025 |
WOL
1 - 3
LEE
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
FUL
1 - 0
LEE
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
LEE
0 - 0
NEW
29%
24%
48%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
SHW
1 - 1
LEE
19%
24%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
ARS
5 - 0
LEE
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 0
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
BOU
2 - 1
BHA
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
TOT
0 - 1
BOU
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 2
BRE
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
BOU
1 - 0
WOL
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |