Q. Europa League 2da Ronda. Final
Global 3-1
Lech Poznań vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LPO
4 - 0
PGL
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 0
LPO
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 0
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
LPO
4 - 0
RCH
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LPO
0 - 0
POG
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
SIK
2 - 3
KAL
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 0
LPO
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
KAL
3 - 0
TAM
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 2
FRA
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
TIN
0 - 0
KAL
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |