Lecce vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 2
RIM
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
3 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
JUV
11%
21%
68%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 1
TRI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 0
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 1
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 2
ABN
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |