Lecce vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CAT
2 - 1
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
SIE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEC
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
0 - 0
COS
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
SAM
4 - 0
VNZ
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MES
3 - 3
SAM
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |