Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
PAL
2 - 2
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 0
COS
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
REG
0 - 0
LEC
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
LEC
3 - 1
AVE
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
40%
29%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ASC
2 - 3
PAR
32%
32%
36%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
JUV
27%
31%
42%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |