Lecce vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 0
LEC
10%
20%
69%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
REG
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
9%
20%
72%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSB
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 1
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 2
CAS
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 0
PAG
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 2
REG
21%
26%
54%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
PAG
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |