Lecce vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 3
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 0
LEC
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 2
LEC
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASG
3 - 0
NOC
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
PON
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
ACP
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOC
51%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |