Lecce vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 4
LEC
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 0
ABN
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MES
2 - 1
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MES
2 - 1
RAV
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 1
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |