Lecce vs Ischia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USF
4 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAT
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEC
12%
21%
66%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUS
0 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 0
ASM
36%
29%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 1
AKR
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAT
4 - 2
ISC
83%
13%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ISC
2 - 0
MAR
59%
25%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |