Lecce vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 2
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NAP
3 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 2
JUV
20%
25%
56%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
LEC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 0
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GEN
1 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |