Lecce vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
63%
25%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
PIS
1 - 0
LEC
52%
30%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 1
VIC
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 1
LEC
64%
24%
13%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
ATL
51%
30%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIS
63%
24%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
PAL
2 - 2
GEN
47%
31%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
TAR
2 - 2
GEN
45%
32%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
VIC
2 - 0
GEN
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |