Lecce vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 1
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 2
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 1
LEC
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
TRE
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
AVE
67%
21%
13%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 2
CHI
26%
29%
46%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 0
MOD
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TRE
0 - 1
CHI
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |