Lecce vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
ABN
0 - 0
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 3
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 3
LEC
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 0
VER
66%
22%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 1
PES
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 3
NAP
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BOL
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |