Lecce vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 1
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
NAP
2 - 4
LEC
63%
22%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
BRE
3 - 2
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 0
UDI
43%
25%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
SAM
2 - 3
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
FIO
1 - 1
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 1
VIC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
NAP
0 - 0
BOL
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |