noscript image

Austria Fourth Division. Estiria, Matchday 12

Lebring vs Lafnitz II analysis

Lebring Lafnitz II
6 ELO 20
41% Tilt 17%
11939º General ELO ranking 25265º
155º Country ELO ranking 531º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Lebring
23.2%
Draw
28.9%
Lafnitz II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
Lebring
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.9%
Win probability
Lafnitz II
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lebring
+42%
+63%
Lafnitz II

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SC Fürstenfeld
28
55
18%
Voitsberg
25
68
7%
Mettersdorf
25
56
11%
SV Union Gnas
23
52
9%
Frauental
22
55
9%
Lafnitz II
21
53
9%
Rottenmann
20
41
8%
Lebring
18
41
8%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
13
38
11º
7%
Union Gamlitz
10º
13
38
10º
8%
Leoben
11º
11
30
13º
8%
Ilzer SV
12º
10
39
8%
Wildon
13º
9
34
12º
9%
Hitthaller St. Michael
14º
8
28
14º
11%
Liezen
15º
7
21
16º
15%
SC Bruck
16º
5
23
15º
14%
Expected probabilities
Lebring
Lafnitz II
Champion
2% 12%
Mid-table
89% 85%
Relegation
10% 3%

ELO progression

Lebring
LEB
Lafnitz II
LAF
Voitsberg
VOI
Rottenmann
ROT
Union Gamlitz
UGA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lebring
Lebring
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2020
ESV
Hitthaller St. Michael
1 - 1
Lebring
LEB
47%
27%
26%
103 141 38 0
23 Oct. 2020
LEB
Lebring
0 - 1
Mettersdorf
MET
39%
28%
33%
104 266 -162 -1
17 Oct. 2020
SVF
Frauental
1 - 3
Lebring
LEB
47%
27%
26%
102 155 53 +1
09 Oct. 2020
LEB
Lebring
4 - 1
Wildon
SVW
41%
28%
31%
101 153 -52 +2
02 Oct. 2020
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
4 - 2
Lebring
LEB
49%
26%
25%
102 235 133 -1

Matches

Lafnitz II
Lafnitz II
1%
X%
2%
ELO LAF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2020
ILZ
Ilzer SV
1 - 1
Lafnitz II
LAF
45%
27%
29%
265 177 -88 0
17 Oct. 2020
ESV
Hitthaller St. Michael
2 - 3
Lafnitz II
LAF
41%
28%
32%
264 144 -120 +1
10 Oct. 2020
LAF
Lafnitz II
2 - 2
Mettersdorf
MET
45%
27%
28%
264 266 -2 0
03 Oct. 2020
SVF
Frauental
2 - 1
Lafnitz II
LAF
41%
28%
32%
265 155 -110 -1
26 Sep. 2020
LAF
Lafnitz II
5 - 3
Wildon
SVW
49%
26%
25%
264 158 106 +1