Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs San Martín Burzaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FEN
0 - 1
ALE
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALE
2 - 0
ARR
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
LAM
1 - 2
ALE
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALE
3 - 1
LUJ
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
DOC
0 - 1
ALE
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SMA
0 - 1
POR
33%
29%
38%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
LAF
2 - 1
SMA
55%
26%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
VSC
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
SMA
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SMA
2 - 2
SAC
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |