National Round 8

Le Puy vs Red Star analysis

Le Puy Red Star
55 ELO 63
-14.6% Tilt -27.2%
1721º General ELO ranking 1161º
47º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
23.2%
Le Puy
27%
Draw
49.8%
Red Star

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
Le Puy
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
49.8%
Win probability
Red Star
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Le Puy
+16%
-3%
Red Star

Points and table prediction

Le Puy
Their league position
Red Star
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
17º
16º
60
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Concarneau
62
63
100%
Dunkerque
62
62
100%
Red Star
60
60
100%
FC Martigues
60
60
100%
Versailles
51
51
100%
Villefranche
46
46
0%
Avranches
45
46
0%
CS Sedan
46
46
0%
Cholet
45
45
100%
Orléans
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Chateauroux
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Le Mans
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Nancy
13º
41
42
13º
100%
Bourg-Péronnas
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Stade Briochin
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Le Puy
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Paris 13 Atletico
17º
31
31
17º
100%
FC Borgo
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Le Puy
Red Star
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Le Puy
Red Star
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Le Puy
Le Puy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2022
SED
CS Sedan
0 - 0
Le Puy
LPV
50%
27%
22%
56 57 1 0
16 Sep. 2022
LPV
Le Puy
1 - 1
Villefranche
VIL
21%
28%
51%
55 64 9 +1
09 Sep. 2022
STA
Stade Briochin
0 - 1
Le Puy
LPV
61%
24%
15%
54 61 7 +1
02 Sep. 2022
LPV
Le Puy
1 - 2
Chateauroux
CHA
23%
28%
49%
54 62 8 0
26 Aug. 2022
CHO
Cholet
2 - 0
Le Puy
LPV
57%
24%
19%
55 56 1 -1

Matches

Red Star
Red Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2022
RED
Red Star
2 - 2
FC Martigues
FCM
53%
25%
21%
63 58 5 0
16 Sep. 2022
AVR
Avranches
1 - 1
Red Star
RED
33%
26%
41%
63 57 6 0
12 Sep. 2022
RED
Red Star
0 - 2
Paris 13 Atletico
GOB
62%
23%
15%
64 56 8 -1
05 Sep. 2022
LMU
Le Mans
0 - 0
Red Star
RED
34%
27%
39%
64 60 4 0
29 Aug. 2022
SED
CS Sedan
0 - 2
Red Star
RED
28%
27%
45%
63 58 5 +1