Lazio vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
LAZ
1 - 0
REG
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
COM
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
LAZ
0 - 0
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 1
LAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRE
44%
29%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COS
1 - 0
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
VER
1 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |