Serie A round 33

Lazio vs Palermo FC analysis

Lazio Palermo FC
88 ELO 73
7.7% Tilt -1.3%
15º General ELO ranking 309º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
78.8%
Lazio
14.3%
Draw
6.9%
Palermo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
Lazio
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.9%
Win probability
Palermo FC
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-6%
+3%
Palermo FC

ELO progression

Lazio
Palermo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2017
GEN
Genoa
2 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
26%
25%
49%
88 80 8 0
09 Apr. 2017
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 3
Napoli
NAP
37%
25%
39%
88 90 2 0
04 Apr. 2017
ROM
Roma
3 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
61%
21%
18%
88 89 1 0
01 Apr. 2017
SAS
Sassuolo
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
26%
26%
49%
88 80 8 0
19 Mar. 2017
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
26%
24%
50%
89 79 10 -1

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2017
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
45%
27%
28%
74 77 3 0
09 Apr. 2017
ACM
Milan
4 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
73%
18%
9%
74 88 14 0
02 Apr. 2017
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 3
Cagliari
CAG
40%
27%
34%
73 78 5 +1
19 Mar. 2017
UDI
Udinese
4 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
60%
22%
18%
76 80 4 -3
12 Mar. 2017
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 3
Roma
ROM
12%
19%
69%
76 90 14 0