Coppa Italia Semi-finals

Global 3-2

Lazio vs Juventus analysis

Lazio Juventus
91 ELO 92
18.3% Tilt -10.1%
17º General ELO ranking 11º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.3%
Lazio
23.4%
Draw
22.2%
Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
Lazio
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
Juventus
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Lazio
Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 1998
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
69%
18%
13%
91 88 3 0
03 Mar. 1998
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
71%
17%
12%
91 87 4 0
28 Feb. 1998
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
27%
27%
46%
91 82 9 0
22 Feb. 1998
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Inter
INT
62%
21%
18%
91 90 1 0
18 Feb. 1998
JUV
Juventus
0 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
65%
21%
15%
91 93 2 0

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 1998
UDI
Udinese
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
36%
25%
39%
92 87 5 0
04 Mar. 1998
JUV
Juventus
1 - 1
Dynamo Kyiv
DYN
75%
16%
9%
92 85 7 0
28 Feb. 1998
JUV
Juventus
1 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
81%
13%
6%
92 79 13 0
22 Feb. 1998
FIO
Fiorentina
3 - 0
Juventus
JUV
36%
26%
38%
93 88 5 -1
18 Feb. 1998
JUV
Juventus
0 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
65%
21%
15%
93 91 2 0