Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
LAZ
2 - 2
VAS
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 2
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
RAB
1 - 3
LAZ
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
LAZ
6 - 0
RAB
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
LAZ
2 - 0
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 2
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
NOC
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
GEN
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 2
CES
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LAZ
4 - 2
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |