Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
LAZ
0 - 1
JUV
42%
26%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
LAZ
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 4
LAZ
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 2
LEC
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 0
BRE
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |