Lazio vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 0
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 3
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
LAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
NAP
6 - 3
CAG
69%
19%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAG
1 - 2
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UDI
0 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |