Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
TOR
3 - 0
LAZ
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
29%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
LAZ
0 - 1
VER
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1969 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
SAM
0 - 0
BOL
31%
30%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
BOL
0 - 1
TOR
58%
25%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |