Lazio vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CES
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
41%
25%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 3
LAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
3 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATM
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
VCF
41%
26%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 1
ATM
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
RSO
0 - 4
ATM
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |