Serie A Round 4

Lazio vs Atalanta analysis

Lazio Atalanta
87 ELO 81
2.9% Tilt 2%
15º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.6%
Lazio
20.5%
Draw
14.8%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Lazio
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
Atalanta
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-4%
-5%
Atalanta

ELO progression

Lazio
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2006
CHI
Chievo
0 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
35%
26%
39%
87 83 4 0
17 Sep. 2006
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
59%
23%
18%
87 85 2 0
10 Sep. 2006
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
72%
18%
11%
87 95 8 0
27 Aug. 2006
MES
ACR Messina
4 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
87 77 10 0
23 Aug. 2006
ASS
AC Monza
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
11%
22%
67%
87 59 28 0

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2006
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Empoli
EMP
44%
26%
30%
81 81 0 0
17 Sep. 2006
CAT
Catania
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
34%
27%
39%
81 75 6 0
10 Sep. 2006
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 1
Ascoli
ASC
56%
25%
19%
81 75 6 0
27 Aug. 2006
TRI
Triestina
3 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
25%
26%
49%
81 67 14 0
23 Aug. 2006
PES
Pescara
0 - 3
Atalanta
ATL
27%
25%
47%
81 64 17 0