Serie A Round 13

Lazio vs Atalanta analysis

Lazio Atalanta
75 ELO 76
-9.6% Tilt -16%
17º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59%
Lazio
22.2%
Draw
18.8%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Lazio
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability
Atalanta
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-6%
-5%
Atalanta

ELO progression

Lazio
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1960
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 2
Catania
CAT
61%
21%
18%
75 71 4 0
18 Dec. 1960
VIC
Vicenza
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
51%
24%
25%
75 75 0 0
04 Dec. 1960
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 0
SPAL
SPA
54%
23%
24%
75 74 1 0
27 Nov. 1960
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
65%
19%
16%
75 80 5 0
20 Nov. 1960
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
82%
12%
7%
75 87 12 0

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1960
NAP
Napoli
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
61%
21%
17%
76 77 1 0
18 Dec. 1960
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
43%
25%
33%
75 80 5 +1
04 Dec. 1960
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
65%
20%
15%
75 80 5 0
27 Nov. 1960
BOL
Bologna
3 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
69%
18%
13%
76 80 4 -1
20 Nov. 1960
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 0
Lecco
LEC
60%
21%
19%
75 69 6 +1