Lazio vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 2
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 2
LAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
LAZ
2 - 1
MOD
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
BAR
0 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
GEN
8 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
BAR
4 - 1
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +2 |