U17 National Championship Italy Group C Round 7

Lazio U17 vs Perugia U17 analysis

Lazio U17 Perugia U17
38 ELO 21
5.5% Tilt 9.2%
7588º General ELO ranking 40601º
294º Country ELO ranking 1225º
ELO win probability
81.4%
Lazio U17
12.2%
Draw
6.4%
Perugia U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
Lazio U17
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.4%
Win probability
Perugia U17
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Lazio U17
Their league position
Perugia U17
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
28
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Roma U17
63
63
100%
Lazio U17
57
57
100%
Reggina U17
45
45
100%
Benevento U17
43
43
100%
Lecce U17
35
35
100%
Palermo U17
35
35
0%
Frosinone U17
35
35
0%
Perugia U17
28
28
100%
Ternana Calcio U17
25
25
100%
Ascoli U17
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Nuova Cosenza U17
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Salernitana U17
12º
17
17
12º
100%
SSC Bari U17
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lazio U17
Perugia U17
100% 100%

ELO progression

Lazio U17
Perugia U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio U17
Lazio U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
SAL
Salernitana U17
1 - 3
Lazio U17
LAZ
6%
13%
81%
37 14 23 0
09 Oct. 2022
LAZ
Lazio U17
2 - 3
Reggina U17
REG
90%
7%
3%
38 15 23 -1
25 Sep. 2022
BAR
SSC Bari U17
0 - 3
Lazio U17
LAZ
12%
16%
72%
37 23 14 +1
11 Sep. 2022
LAZ
Lazio U17
3 - 1
Palermo U17
PAL
79%
13%
8%
37 22 15 0
04 Sep. 2022
FRO
Frosinone U17
2 - 11
Lazio U17
LAZ
19%
21%
60%
36 24 12 +1

Matches

Perugia U17
Perugia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
PER
Perugia U17
2 - 2
Palermo U17
PAL
41%
24%
35%
21 23 2 0
09 Oct. 2022
FRO
Frosinone U17
2 - 0
Perugia U17
PER
56%
21%
23%
22 24 2 -1
25 Sep. 2022
PER
Perugia U17
3 - 0
Ternana Calcio U17
TER
62%
21%
18%
21 18 3 +1
18 Sep. 2022
BEN
Benevento U17
2 - 2
Perugia U17
PER
77%
14%
9%
21 31 10 0
11 Sep. 2022
PER
Perugia U17
5 - 0
Nuova Cosenza U17
COS
55%
21%
23%
20 19 1 +1