Lavagnese vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 3
LAV
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 0
INV
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
LAV
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
LEC
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BUS
0 - 1
LAV
55%
23%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
LIG
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
INV
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAV
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |