Serie D Round 2

Lavagnese vs Casale analysis

Lavagnese Casale
33 ELO 45
-10.8% Tilt -11.5%
4716º General ELO ranking 20648º
164º Country ELO ranking 518º
ELO win probability
26.2%
Lavagnese
25.3%
Draw
48.5%
Casale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
Lavagnese
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.5%
Win probability
Casale
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lavagnese
+254%
-76%
Casale

ELO progression

Lavagnese
Casale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lavagnese
Lavagnese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2009
ACR
ACD Rivoli
0 - 0
Lavagnese
LAV
31%
26%
43%
35 25 10 0
17 May. 2009
LAV
Lavagnese
0 - 0
Albese Calcio
ALB
37%
26%
37%
34 38 4 +1
10 May. 2009
SAV
Savona
0 - 2
Lavagnese
LAV
66%
20%
15%
32 40 8 +2
03 May. 2009
LAV
Lavagnese
0 - 3
Spezia
SPE
13%
21%
65%
33 59 26 -1
26 Apr. 2009
NOV
Novese
1 - 0
Lavagnese
LAV
19%
24%
57%
34 17 17 -1

Matches

Casale
Casale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2009
CAS
Casale
1 - 3
Settimo Milanese
SET
78%
15%
7%
45 20 25 0
31 May. 2009
SPE
Spezia
1 - 1
Casale
CAS
68%
20%
12%
44 59 15 +1
27 May. 2009
CAS
Casale
4 - 2
Sarzanese
ASC
57%
24%
20%
44 40 4 0
17 May. 2009
CAS
Casale
4 - 1
FCD Lottogiaveno
FCL
74%
17%
9%
43 23 20 +1
10 May. 2009
ASC
Sarzanese
0 - 3
Casale
CAS
39%
26%
35%
42 40 2 +1