Lausanne Sports vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
8º
44
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
LAU
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 0
ZUR
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 4
LAU
13%
18%
69%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STG
2 - 1
LAU
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 4
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
SER
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THU
1 - 3
FCL
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
HOF
3 - 1
FCL
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |