Latte Dolce vs San Marzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
16º
16º
44
7º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latte Dolce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
ULD
79%
15%
5%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ULD
4 - 2
CSO
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 1
ULD
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CSO
0 - 2
ULD
51%
22%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 3
ULD
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
San Marzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
SSC
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CYN
2 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
1 - 1
ANZ
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 3
SMR
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 2
SMR
66%
20%
14%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | +1 |