Larne vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
28%
26%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
LAR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 1
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 5
LAR
7%
19%
74%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
POR
66%
20%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CLI
2 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |