Larne vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 0
ARD
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
KNO
0 - 3
LAR
7%
14%
79%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LAR
1 - 0
AUN
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
LAR
0 - 1
DER
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LAR
1 - 0
WAR
83%
12%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 2
DUN
48%
22%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 1
LOU
34%
22%
44%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 0
BAN
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 1
DUN
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DUN
4 - 4
WAR
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |