Tennent's Irish Cup 1/16

Larne vs Dergview FC analysis

Larne Dergview FC
51 ELO 44
12.8% Tilt 11.1%
1510º General ELO ranking 6079º
Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
64.4%
Larne
19.5%
Draw
16%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
Larne
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
Dergview FC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Larne
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Larne
Larne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2017
LAR
Larne
3 - 2
Newry City
NEW
36%
25%
39%
50 57 7 0
26 Dec. 2017
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
0 - 2
Larne
LAR
60%
21%
19%
49 56 7 +1
23 Dec. 2017
LCE
Lurgan Celtic
1 - 3
Larne
LAR
37%
23%
40%
48 43 5 +1
16 Dec. 2017
LAR
Larne
2 - 1
Limavady
LIM
33%
24%
44%
47 52 5 +1
25 Nov. 2017
PSN
PSNI
1 - 1
Larne
LAR
59%
21%
20%
46 51 5 +1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2017
INS
Institute
2 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
61%
22%
17%
46 56 10 0
20 Dec. 2017
POR
Portadown
7 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
60%
21%
19%
47 51 4 -1
16 Dec. 2017
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 2
Knockbreda
KNO
35%
25%
41%
47 52 5 0
01 Dec. 2017
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 2
Newry City
NEW
30%
25%
44%
46 55 9 +1
25 Nov. 2017
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
5 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
60%
22%
18%
48 54 6 -2