AE Larisa vs Aiolikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.1%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
2º
19
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 52% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 1
AEK
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
KAM
0 - 2
LAR
10%
22%
69%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
APO
78%
16%
5%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATR
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MYT
1 - 1
ANA
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
MKN
1 - 1
MYT
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
0 - 0
MAK
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MYT
1 - 1
IRA
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 1
MYT
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |