Larache vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ILI
6 - 1
LCF
83%
10%
7%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LCF
6 - 3
CAA
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +6 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ILI
7 - 0
LCF
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
LCF
1 - 5
MAG
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
CDB
6 - 0
LCF
78%
13%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
SFE
4 - 2
BET
53%
20%
27%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SFE
3 - 0
REC
56%
19%
25%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
EME
2 - 2
SFE
38%
22%
40%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
SFE
4 - 0
CAA
66%
17%
17%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
ILI
4 - 1
SFE
71%
15%
14%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |