Larache vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
REC
4 - 0
LCF
84%
9%
7%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
LCF
1 - 0
EME
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BAL
11 - 1
LCF
78%
12%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
LCF
2 - 2
MEL
54%
20%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
LCF
6 - 3
RJA
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SFE
3 - 0
BET
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
MEL
2 - 1
SFE
83%
10%
7%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ILI
4 - 1
SFE
66%
17%
18%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
SFE
1 - 3
ALG
72%
15%
14%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
CAT
7 - 1
SFE
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |