Laracha vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laracha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
LAR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
LAR
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ORD
1 - 2
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
BOI
17%
25%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOI
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 1
CHO
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 1
SIL
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
RCV
2 - 3
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |